We will discuss how a misunderstanding of statistics can lead to very unskeptical thinking. Humans are inherently bad at judging risk and the probability of events. This can lead to belief in the supernatural, psychics, and 'fate'. Even scientists fall foul to bad statistics, and a basic understanding of how statistics work can help weed out the good studies from the bad. We'll be keeping this very light, 'statistics minus the numbers' :) There will be fun demonstrations of bad statistics in action, and we'll outline some basic concepts and ideas to arm you against the next person who claims that they must be psychic because they can predict who is calling when the phone rings.
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