FiveThirtyEight Politics

About this podcast

Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

FiveThirtyEight Politics

Episodes

2021
Will Trump's Gains With Latino Voters Last?
Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why.
April 8, 2021
44 min
How Bipartisan Is Democrats' Infrastructure Plan?
The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses.
April 5, 2021
66 min
Elections To Watch In 2021
The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats.
April 1, 2021
48 min
Democrats Are Struggling On Immigration Policy
The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term.
March 29, 2021
53 min
The Gold Standard For Polling Has Changed
Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings.
March 25, 2021
52 min
The Attacks In Atlanta May Activate Asian Americans Politically
The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades.
March 22, 2021
50 min
How The Culture Wars Of The 2020s Are Shaping Our Politics
Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded.
March 18, 2021
44 min
Will The Stimulus Bill Boost Democrats' Electoral Prospects?
The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms.
March 15, 2021
57 min
Did Joe Biden Get Lucky In 2020?
With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, “Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency.” The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill.
March 11, 2021
51 min
Cuomo's Political Future Is Unclear
The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states.
March 9, 2021
58 min
How The Black Church Has Shaped American Politics
This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBS’s recent documentary series “The Black Church."
March 4, 2021
45 min
Is CPAC Representative Of The GOP?
The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster.
March 1, 2021
51 min
What The White House Thinks The Economy Needs
Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why.
February 25, 2021
32 min
Democrats' COVID Relief Bill Is Popular
The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling.
February 23, 2021
56 min
How The Crisis In Texas Happened
Texas has been in a dire situation this week. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises.
February 18, 2021
36 min
Why Seven Republicans Voted To Convict Trump
Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom.
February 16, 2021
57 min
The Meaning Of Democrats' Impeachment Argument
While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications.
February 12, 2021
34 min
What Georgia Republicans' Proposed Voting Restrictions Would Do
Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020.
February 8, 2021
57 min
What Could The GOP's Future Look Like?
Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought.
February 4, 2021
62 min
Biden's Response To The Pandemic
Kaiser Health News's Anna Maria Barry-Jester joins the crew to discuss how Biden's response to the pandemic is different from former President Trump's. They also discuss a recent poll showing that if Trump were to start a new "Patriot Party," it would have significant draw among Republican voters.
February 1, 2021
54 min

FiveThirtyEight Politics

About this podcast

Categories

About this podcast

Categories

FiveThirtyEight Politics

Episodes

Will Trump's Gains With Latino Voters Last?

How Bipartisan Is Democrats' Infrastructure Plan?

Elections To Watch In 2021

Democrats Are Struggling On Immigration Policy

The Gold Standard For Polling Has Changed

The Attacks In Atlanta May Activate Asian Americans Politically

How The Culture Wars Of The 2020s Are Shaping Our Politics

Will The Stimulus Bill Boost Democrats' Electoral Prospects?

Did Joe Biden Get Lucky In 2020?

Cuomo's Political Future Is Unclear

How The Black Church Has Shaped American Politics

Is CPAC Representative Of The GOP?

What The White House Thinks The Economy Needs

Democrats' COVID Relief Bill Is Popular

How The Crisis In Texas Happened

Why Seven Republicans Voted To Convict Trump

The Meaning Of Democrats' Impeachment Argument

What Georgia Republicans' Proposed Voting Restrictions Would Do

What Could The GOP's Future Look Like?

Biden's Response To The Pandemic